Purpose: Prognostic markers that identify patients with stage II colon cancers (CC) who are at risk of recurrence are essential to personalize therapy. We evaluated the potential of GIV/Girdin as a predictor of recurrence risk in such patients. Experimental Design: Expression of full-length GIV was evaluated by immunohistochemistry (IHC) using a newly developed monoclonal antibody together with a mismatch repair (MMR)-specific antibody panel in three stage II CC patient cohorts, ie. a training (n=192), test (n=317), and validation (n=181) cohort, with clinical follow-up data. Recurrence risk stratification models were established in the training cohort of T3, proficient MMR (pMMR) patients without chemotherapy and subsequently validated. Results: For T3 pMMR tumors, GIV expression and the presence of lymphovascular invasion (LVI) were the only factors predicting recurrence in both training (GIV: HR:2.78, p=0.013; LVI: HR 2.54, p=0.025) and combined test and validation (pooled) cohorts (GIV, HR:1.85, p=0.019; LVI, HR:2.52, p=0.0004). A risk model based on GIV expression and LVI-status classified patients into high- or low-risk groups; 3-year recurrence-free survival was significantly lower in the high-risk versus low-risk group across all cohorts (Training: 52.3% versus 84.8%; HR:3.74, 95%CI: 1.50-9.32; Test: 85.9% versus 97.9%, HR:7.83, 95%CI:1.03-59.54; Validation: 59.4% versus 84.4%, HR:3.71, 95%CI: 1.24-11.12). Conclusions: GIV expression status predicts recurrence risk in patients with T3 pMMR stage II CC. A risk model combining GIV expression and LVI-status information further enhances prediction of recurrence. Further validation studies are warranted before GIV status can be routinely included in patient management algorithms.
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